Start to In-Person Early Voting Suggests Enthusiasm for Georgia Runoff

Photo by Arnaud Jaegers on Unsplash
  • Thus far, “runoff dropoff” has not occurred. The number of early votes cast in the runoff represents 96% of early votes cast in the general election at the same point in time. While voting by mail is lower this time around, early voting in person was higher in its first two days relative to the general election.
  • As expected, there are wide variations in voting patterns across the state. In the counties around Atlanta, an underperformance in voting by mail is being offset by higher turnout in in-person early voting.
  • The overwhelming majority of people who have voted in the runoff also voted early in the general election.
  • Unsurprisingly, older voters are outperforming younger voters in the runoff, a dynamic also evident at the same point in time in the general election. Additionally, white voters are outperforming their share of the electorate in voting by mail, whereas Black voters are outperforming their share of the electorate when it comes to early voting in person.
  • Gender: In the runoff, female voters are outperforming their share of the electorate when it comes to VBM; however, their share of EVIP in the runoff is about equal to their share of their electorate. At this point in time during the general election, female voters were outperforming their share of the electorate in both early voting methods (Table 6).
  • Generation: Younger Georgians (Millennials and younger) are making up a significantly lower share of runoff voters than their share of the electorate at large. For example, although younger Georgians represent 40% of the electorate, they only make up 11% of VBM runoff voters and 16% of EVIP runoff voters. This pattern was also present at the same point in time in the general election (Table 7).
  • Race: Vote share by race varies somewhat dramatically across voting method. White voters make up a larger share of VBM runoff voters compared to their share of the electorate. On the other hand, Black voters make up a larger percentage of EVIP runoff voters compared to their share of the electorate (Table 8).

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A powerhouse of technology, data science, and creative innovation in support of progressive causes.

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